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内容简介:
Tracking trends in American public opinion, this study examines moods of public policy over time. James Stimson looks at shorter term movements as the public approves or disapproves politicians, trusts or distrusts government. His book is distinctive in that it focuses on determining the unobserved true opinion that lies beneath superficial polls. It argues that public opinion is decisive in American politics and identifies the citizens who produce influential change as a relatively small subset of the American electorate.
书籍目录:
List of Tables and Figures page ix
Preface: The Shutdown xi
On Point of View xvii
On How the Book Came to Be Written xviii
On Truth, Objectivity, and Spin xix
Acknowledgments xxi
1 Opinion Flows
September 11
Policy Preferences
So, What’s New?
A Theory of Public Opinion
Some Postulates about Opinion Movement
Design of the Book
2 What the Public Wants from Government
Thinking about Public Opinion
Absolute and Relative
Means and Ends
What Are the Considerations? Policy Domains
Some Newer Policy Conflicts
3 Left and Right Movements in Preference
The Issue Evolution Theory of Issue Alignment
Three Issue Evolutions
Preferences for Liberalism and Conservatism
Ideology: Operational and Symbolic
4 The Great Horse Race: Finding Meaning in Presidential
Campaigns
The Lore of Presidential Campaigns: Three Stories
Do the Polls Predict Presidential Elections?
So, What Really Matters?
Party Nominating Conventions
Candidate Debates
5 Between the Campaigns: Public Approval and Disapproval of
Government
The Presidency
U.S. Senators
Governors
Trust in Government
Is Approval Generic?
6 On Politics at the Margin
A Tale of Three Elections
Who Accounts for Change in American Politics?
The Rhythms of Opinion: A Reconsideration
On Marginal Democracy
Bibliography
Index
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编辑推荐
Politics is a trial in which those in government - and those
who aspire to be - make proposals, debate alternatives, and pass
laws. Then the jury of public opinion decides. It likes the
proposals or actions or it does not. It trusts the actors or it
doesn't. It moves, always at the margin, and then those who benefit
from the movement are declared winners. This book is about that
public opinion response. Its most basic premise is that although
pubic opinion rarely matters in a democracy, public opinion change
is the exception. Public opinion rarely matters, because the public
rarely cares enough to act on its concerns or preferences. Change
happens only when the threshold of normal public inattention is
crossed. When public opinion changes, governments rise or fall,
elections are won or lost, old realities give way to new
demands.
? Complete account of American public opinion ? Emphasis is on
motion ? Written with no jargon or technology
书籍介绍
Tracking trends in American public opinion, this study examines moods of public policy over time. James Stimson looks at shorter term movements as the public approves or disapproves politicians, trusts or distrusts government. His book is distinctive in that it focuses on determining the unobserved true opinion that lies beneath superficial polls. It argues that public opinion is decisive in American politics and identifies the citizens who produce influential change as a relatively small subset of the American electorate.
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